Market Update: Big Moves Incoming? What I'm Buying Next.

Hello fellow investors,

Honestly, it’s hard to know where to begin since there’s just so much happening right now. With Donald Trump back, the markets are reacting to each of his online posts like clockwork, swinging sharply with every statement or controversy. The political noise is adding a layer of volatility, but despite the drama, here we are: six months into the year, and markets are back in the green. It’s a testament to how resilient and unpredictable this environment continues to be.

At the start of the year, I predicted we’d end 2025 with modest gains of around 5%, pushing the S&P 500 toward the 6,200 mark. So far, that trajectory seems well within reach, and I believe we’re still on track to grow into that number.

But some believe we could go even higher. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, a well-known market bull who’s been uncannily accurate over the past few years, sees even more upside. He’s calling for a potential 10% surge from current levels, especially if the Fed follows through with a rate cut. Lee is particularly bullish on the current setup, citing strong technicals and a favorable macro backdrop.

Is it possible? Absolutely. In this kind of market, momentum is a powerful force especially if sentiment shifts further on policy, we could very well overshoot expectations.

So what's going on with my high conviction picks? Here's my June update. 

$PLTR

This week, The New York Times released what can only be described as a politically motivated hit piece on Palantir. The article criticized the company for its access to vast datasets on corporations and individuals—as if that’s somehow surprising or scandalous. But let’s be clear: Palantir isn’t harvesting consumer data. They work with data sets provided to them by governments and enterprises—and unlike Big Tech peers like Google, Meta, or Amazon, they don’t even have a consumer-facing product.

So why single them out? Possibly because Palantir just secured a billion-dollar contract from the Trump administration. When the Obama administration used Palantir to fight human trafficking, there wasn’t a peep. But now that the political winds have shifted, they’re suddenly a threat? It’s a selective outrage that doesn’t hold up under scrutiny.

Thankfully, the market saw through the noise. Investors shrugged off the hit piece and sent PLTR to an all-time high, recognizing the company’s growing strategic relevance. 

If momentum holds and the contract pipeline stays strong, a $150 price target is well within reach this year. And looking further ahead.. $300 within the next two years isn’t just possible, it’s increasingly likely. You're welcome. 

$HIMS 

Hims just made a bold move by expanding into Europe through the acquisition of Zava. It is exciting to see them execute on their global expansion strategy so decisively. The company has been all over the news lately and is now among the most shorted stocks on Wall Street. That, frankly, makes little sense.

This is a company that has more than doubled its revenue since last year, increased its customer base by over 40 percent, and tripled its EBITDA. And yet it is being heavily shorted. The disconnect between fundamentals and sentiment is striking.

If momentum continues and short interest remains elevated, there is real potential for a short squeeze that could push HIMS toward the $75 range in the short term.

$NBIS 

Nebius is on an impressive run, and it is not just hype. In the latest MLPerf Training v5.0 benchmarks, the company delivered outstanding results that position it as a serious player in the AI infrastructure space. Competing alongside major industry names like NVIDIA, Google Cloud, and Oracle, Nebius proved it belongs in the conversation.

The company delivered top-tier performance in large-scale model training, demonstrating its strength in high-performance computing. Its cloud platform also showed exceptional scalability and efficiency, managing massive datasets and complex AI workloads with ease. This level of capability is exactly what enterprises need to power modern AI applications.

These achievements position $NBIS as a strong and credible alternative to traditional hyperscalers. It offers organizations tailored solutions that prioritize performance, scalability, and cost-efficiency.

Analysts are starting to catch on. Arete’s Andrew Beale recently initiated coverage with a Buy rating and an $84 price target. That implies more than one hundred percent upside from current levels. Nebius may still be under the radar for many investors, but that window is closing fast.

$SOFI

SoFi continues to fly under the radar, which is exactly what makes it so compelling right now. With an increase in volume and revenue expected in Q2, the company is showing steady operational momentum that many investors are still overlooking.

While artificial intelligence and mega-cap tech dominate headlines, fintech remains out of favor, giving long-term investors a rare opportunity to accumulate quality names like SoFi at a discount. The market is not pricing in the upside potential here, and that creates a clear edge.

Management has been transparent in their guidance. They have consistently said that 2025 is a foundational year, a period focused on setting up for the next phase of growth. The real story begins in 2026 and 2027, where they expect substantial gains in earnings, revenue, and services.

At today’s levels, the stock offers a strong entry point ahead of that breakout phase. Investors who understand the setup and are willing to hold through the noise may be rewarded in a big way.

$BTC

Tom Lee recently suggested that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 per coin this year. While I am not quite that bullish, I would not be surprised to see Bitcoin start moving aggressively in that direction.

That may sound extreme right now, but the macro setup is shifting fast. Trump’s latest economic bill looks like it could fuel inflation, especially with his push for lower interest rates at the same time. It feels fiscally irresponsible, particularly after the administration made efforts to cut spending through initiatives like DOGE.

If the government starts printing more money while also lowering interest rates, it creates a real risk of currency debasement. In that kind of environment, people move their capital into assets that hold value.

From my perspective, this will drive more demand for gold and Bitcoin. Both represent a way to protect purchasing power when fiat loses credibility. Bitcoin may once again prove to be the smartest place to be when policy becomes reckless.

I'm looking for my next big investment

I’ll be sharing a full post soon on what I believe could be my next major investment opportunity, but here’s a preview. The theme is simple: selling shovels during a gold rush.

You’ve probably heard the saying before. During the California Gold Rush, the real winners were not the miners chasing gold, but the ones selling them shovels. That mindset has led many investors to companies like NVIDIA and Palantir, which are building the tools powering the AI revolution.

But what if we zoom out even further? What powers the tools that power AI? The answer is energy. Electricity. Infrastructure. And increasingly, nuclear power.

As demand for AI and data centers explodes, so will the need for high-capacity, stable, and clean energy. This is not just about investing in AI itself. It is about investing in what makes AI possible.

Stay tuned. My next post will dive deeper into this opportunity.

$NBIS Up 30% — And Why I Just Bought 700 Shares of $SOFI

The trade I made on $NBIS back in early May has started to show strong results. The stock is already up over 30% since my purchase, and I want to give credit to anyone who followed me on that move. It’s always rewarding to see research-backed conviction pay off.

But I am not cashing in just yet. I continue to hold $NBIS as an infrastructure bet on the future of AI. I believe the company is well-positioned in a rapidly expanding space, and I plan to stay invested for at least the next 12 months or possibly longer depending on how the landscape evolves.

A New Addition: $SOFI

Outside of that, I haven’t made too many moves lately but mostly because I was away on vacation. However, I did take a position earlier this week: 700 shares of $SOFI at $13.50/share.

Unfortunately, I may have mistimed this move by a day, as it looks like the markets will pull back in response to renewed tariff threats from President Trump, this time targeting the European Union with a proposed 50% tariff (rolls eyes). This kind of geopolitical headline risk tends to spook the markets short term, but it also creates attractive entry points for investors who can look beyond the noise.

Right now, $SOFI is trading in the $12–13 range, and I see it as a compelling opportunity.

Why I’m Bullish on SoFi

SoFi (Social Finance) is not your traditional bank. It’s a digital-first, asset-light financial platform built for scale. Here’s what stood out to me:

• End-to-end financial services: loans, mortgages, credit cards, and investing all in one app.

• Lead monetization model: instead of turning customers away, SoFi sells leads to partners and collects fees, minimizing credit risk while still profiting from user demand.

• Asset-light strategy: the digital model allows SoFi to scale rapidly without the cost burden of a physical branch network.

• Explosive member growth: from 3.4 million in 2021 to 10.9 million in 2025, representing a 52% CAGR.

• Ambitious long-term goal: aiming for 50 million members by 2035, which would position it in the same tier as major U.S. banks.

Let’s put it in perspective:

Bank	Market Cap
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)	$700B
Bank of America (BAC)	$313B
Wells Fargo (WFC)	$238B
SoFi	$15B

The upside potential here is massive especially when you factor in their relatively small market cap today.

Leadership Matters

Leadership is another reason I’m confident in SoFi’s vision. We all know I love growing companies with charasmatic leaders, (like Karp at PLTR) and SoFi's  CEO, Tony Noto (what a name!) brings deep experience, having served as:

• Managing Director at Goldman Sachs

• CFO of the NFL

• COO of Twitter

This is a team that understands both finance and tech, and that’s a rare but powerful combination in the fintech world.

The Risk: Profitability Still in Progress

To be clear, SoFi isn’t without challenges:

• Revenue is strong, but they’re still in investment mode, spending heavily on growth.

• Net income remains low, but that’s not unusual for a company aggressively scaling in a competitive space.

That said, if they continue to execute and hit their goal of 50 million members, I believe $SOFI has 10x potential over the next decade.

Final Thoughts

Right now, I’m not rushing into many new positions. But $SOFI felt like the right opportunity at the right time, especially with the market giving us a temporary discount due to macro headlines.

As always, I’ll keep you updated as new opportunities emerge.

My Latest Pick: An AI Company with a Bright Future $NBIS

Hello fellow investors.

How's the market treating you so far in 2025? 

Well, the S&P500 is still negative for the year, but it looks like Trump maybe easing up on tariffs, so that may bring us into positive territory soon. We'll see. 

But if you've been following along here and investing like I have, you are likely doing far better than 95% of investors out there, even in a rough year like this. My personal YTD return is over 20%, I am VERY proud of this specifically in a year where everybody has been struggling and losing money. 

The best hedge funds in Manhattan tend to unofficially promise returns between 10-20% in a year, so for me to consistently beat them puts a huge grin on my face. 

In the last year, I am up over 100% in my portfolio. I spend a lot of time reading market news, researching companies, and devote a lot of time to this. But I genuinely love doing this and it doesn't even feel like work to me, so I am very happy to be at least rewarded financially for all of this. 

Now, that being said a lot of this is due to my high conviction in PLTR which I have been promoting since 2021 here, but my very recent pick, HIMS has also taken off like I expected. 

So naturally, some of you are already asking me what's next. I've been working on this one for a while, but here is my latest investment: 

It’s called Nebius, ticker symbol $NBIS, and it just might be the best kept secret in AI.

So What Is Nebius?

$NBIS is a next-gen cloud provider. Not just your typical storage and compute shop either. Nebius builds highly specialized AI infrastructure, offers developer tools, and runs one of the most impressive hardware-software stacks I’ve seen outside of hyperscalers. Think AWS and Azure, but streamlined for AI workloads and far more cost efficient.

The company is founder-led. It carries no debt, holds 2.4 billion dollars in cash, and is quietly building a monster. They own three high-potential subsidiaries and a meaningful stake in ClickHouse. And somehow, they’re still trading at just a 6.6 billion dollar valuation.

The core business alone could 4x or more from here. And that’s before even accounting for the other units.

The Big Picture

Nebius is gunning for dominance in the AI infrastructure race. The total addressable market for AI cloud is expected to grow at a 35 percent CAGR through 2030. Everyone wants compute power, and Nebius is offering some of the most cost-effective, high-performance solutions in the game.

They operate two key platforms:

• Nebius AI Cloud — optimized for AI training and inference

• Nebius AI Studio — a platform for researchers and developers to fine-tune, test, and deploy models

And now they’ve introduced TractoAI, a serverless platform that makes deploying AI workloads even easier, priced by usage instead of cluster time.

This isn't just a "cool tech" company. This is an extremely well-funded, engineering-heavy operator that designs its own servers, racks, and even motherboards. They run world-class data centers in Finland, the US, Paris, and Iceland. Their Finland site ranks among the top 20 supercomputers globally.

Let that sink in.

Why It Stands Out

A few things make Nebius unique:

• They’re a preferred Nvidia partner, meaning they get early access to top GPUs like Blackwell. That’s a massive edge in the AI compute wars.

• Their infrastructure is 20 to 25 percent cheaper to operate compared to others.

• They’ve got over 15 years of experience in server optimization.

• They’re expanding hard. By the end of 2025, Nebius expects to have 100 megawatts of capacity in the US and over 400 megawatts globally.

Let’s talk about scale for a second. At full capacity, their Finland data center alone could generate 1 billion dollars in annual recurring revenue. Add Missouri, Iceland, and Paris, and you get a path to 2.5 billion dollars ARR by mid-2026.

Apply even a modest 9 times ARR valuation, and that core business alone could be worth 22.5 billion dollars.

But that’s just part one.

Now Enter the Subsidiaries

Avride — The Sleeper in Autonomy

I was shocked this company wasn’t getting more attention.

Avride is Nebius' autonomous vehicle arm. Think robotaxis and delivery robots. They were the first to launch robotaxis in Europe and have already driven 22 million kilometers. That’s more than Cruise, Zoox, or Motional in some cases. Zero accidents.

They’re already operating in Moscow and testing in the US and South Korea. Starting this year, they’ll be running paid rides in Dallas through Uber. They’ve partnered with Hyundai to move toward full autonomy.

This is serious. Cruise raised money at a 30 billion dollar valuation. Zoox sits around 6 billion. Motional, which hasn’t even tested highway driving, was last valued at over 4 billion. Avride is at least on par,  or maybe even further ahead.

They also have autonomous delivery bots already deployed in the US, UAE, and Korea. Over 200,000 deliveries completed. Uber Eats integration. They expect to scale to 1,000 units by the end of the year.

Serve Robotics, which is doing something similar, is valued at 500 million with half the deployment. So conservatively, the delivery division alone should be worth a few hundred million. The robotaxi unit? Could be 6 to 10 billion by itself once it scales.

Toloka — Data Is the New Oil

Toloka is one of the world’s top AI data labeling platforms. Clients include Microsoft, AMD, Amazon, and more.

They’ve evolved from basic crowdsourcing to offering high-quality, targeted data for training large language models. This is one of the biggest bottlenecks in AI development right now, and Toloka is well positioned to dominate.

2024 revenue is projected at 60 million dollars, growing at over 40 percent annually. That puts 2030 revenue at around 322 million. At just 5 times sales, you’re looking at a 1.6 billion dollar valuation.

Again, that’s conservative.

TripleTen — Educating the AI Workforce

TripleTen is a fast-growing online bootcamp focused on AI and software training. Over 1,000 students enroll monthly, and they’ve recently expanded into B2B training for companies looking to reskill employees in AI.

They expect 50 million dollars in revenue by 2025 and are growing rapidly. The educational tech market is projected to grow at over 26 percent annually. If TripleTen hits 160 million dollars in revenue by 2030 and trades at 2 times sales (like Coursera), that’s another 320 million dollars in value.

ClickHouse Stake

Nebius owns 28 percent of ClickHouse, an open-source columnar database built for fast analytical queries. It’s used by giants like Microsoft, Spotify, Lyft, Block, Meta, and more.

ClickHouse was valued at 2 billion dollars in 2021. Since then, it’s only expanded. That makes Nebius’ stake worth around 560 million dollars, minimum.

Valuation Summary

So what do we have here?

• Core cloud business could be worth 22 to 27 billion by 2026 to 2028

• Avride could reach 6 to 10 billion in value

• Toloka could be worth 1.6 billion by 2030

• TripleTen around 320 million

• ClickHouse stake valued around 560 million

And all of that... is bundled into a company that today is valued at just 6 billion dollars.

Yes, There Will Be Dilution

Let’s be real. The cloud business is CapEx intensive. Avride will need funding. Nebius raised 700 million in December and has 235 million shares outstanding, plus 126 million shares held in treasury for incentive plans and future financing.

Even if total dilution reaches 53 percent (I think that’s the ceiling), the upside is still massive.

Where This Could Go

I believe $NBIS could be worth 10 billion dollars by the end of this year. They’re expected to hit 750 million dollars in ARR and are on track to break even on adjusted EBITDA.

By 2026? The company could conservatively be worth 35 to 40 billion.

By 2030? I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 50 billion dollar valuation, maybe more, depending on how AI compute demand evolves and how Avride scales.

Even if you assume full dilution, you’re still looking at a 5 to 10x return over five to seven years.

At sub $30, I find this to be a bargain. I think this can reach $50 within this calendar year. 

Final Thoughts

$NBIS is my highest conviction pick right now after PLTR & HIMS. 

It’s got strong fundamentals, massive growth, an unbeatable TAM, and one of the most talented engineering teams in AI. They’re building everything from the ground up, solving multiple bottlenecks in AI: compute, data, and talent all under one umbrella.

This is the kind of company that becomes obvious only in hindsight. But I’m not waiting for hindsight.  

We'll see.